Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.269592 13.786813 15.523610 17.683418 20.332717 23.525161 2.774121e+01
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.372845 12.211830 14.479664 17.554361 21.736680 27.430054 3.617261e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.170677 11.129586 13.668258 17.324546 22.693191 30.742437 4.482644e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.381932 10.415827 13.157341 17.306377 23.811033 34.455845 5.563173e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.845070 9.949220 12.884454 17.529210 25.271120 39.082952 7.060376e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.216411 9.278685 12.223748 17.031741 25.408452 41.361179 8.208851e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.809578 8.878554 11.904952 17.009352 26.335360 45.442664 1.012948e+02
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.328169 8.326501 11.296189 16.415607 26.079592 46.939336 1.145900e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.847227 7.740096 10.582710 15.555376 25.153603 46.641468 1.218938e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.457522 7.265667 10.008373 14.874452 24.473256 46.759313 1.313411e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.600521 7.605617 10.755707 16.633850 29.196085 62.796935 2.448840e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.537684 7.619144 10.966476 17.431808 32.059801 75.673781 4.068578e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.184465 7.164568 10.374181 16.647368 31.128004 76.060227 4.699523e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.970340 6.921523 10.128404 16.529083 31.847058 83.045491 6.926272e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.761864 6.674395 9.855059 16.319165 32.287772 89.428264 1.046186e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.600326 6.494177 9.685131 16.302563 33.253058 99.052035 1.961629e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.482850 6.379428 9.622551 16.506071 34.905221 113.923063 6.234296e+03
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.285997 6.120850 9.278929 16.051580 34.507528 117.662178 1.444428e+04
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.160132 5.976091 9.135846 16.031111 35.452789 130.758330 5.870058e+06
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.977133 5.725484 8.779759 15.487839 34.617567 131.651540 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.774230 5.433497 8.332258 14.699178 32.858179 124.998038 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.602193 5.189164 7.964947 14.073565 31.561205 121.199797 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.706609 5.425778 8.524369 15.687631 38.310160 193.442085 NaN